Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 6.857935 7.849399 8.948295 10.259041 11.783134 13.503215 15.596931
2025-01-12 5.457963 6.716492 8.225983 10.178803 12.651217 15.694217 19.749264
2025-01-19 4.600415 5.960594 7.686816 10.055424 13.247527 17.437691 23.416001
2025-01-26 4.169639 5.637648 7.590247 10.405147 14.404847 19.952623 28.349902
2025-02-02 3.799076 5.326565 7.441524 10.623250 15.357141 22.248632 33.240924
2025-02-09 3.556672 5.152722 7.444421 11.028694 16.591860 25.061446 39.248737
2025-02-16 3.173043 4.725490 7.024106 10.740035 16.720132 26.182671 42.722185
2025-02-23 2.892580 4.419570 6.746104 10.625471 17.085196 27.687582 46.988164
2025-03-02 2.655719 4.154819 6.500188 10.525406 17.445506 29.201755 51.444095
2025-03-09 2.437551 3.897400 6.237852 10.363461 17.670327 30.490859 55.644916
2025-03-16 2.231463 3.640003 5.949634 10.122960 17.721787 31.463224 59.362672
2025-03-23 2.166135 3.610211 6.036239 10.538865 18.987678 34.778520 68.068268
2025-03-30 2.047188 3.480789 5.944229 10.632302 19.681452 37.129834 75.254592
2025-04-06 1.913851 3.314690 5.772717 10.560811 20.050560 38.892068 81.477287
2025-04-13 1.785813 3.146937 5.582702 10.432973 20.289797 40.413323 87.394038
2025-04-20 1.736988 3.118806 5.644930 10.797168 21.558645 44.212931 99.032258
2025-04-27 1.673617 3.057914 5.639451 11.024303 22.565536 47.575802 110.196041
2025-05-04 1.638050 3.046390 5.726476 11.446580 24.034970 52.141464 125.047135
2025-05-11 1.522639 2.871309 5.478954 11.145930 23.881088 52.997998 130.688966
2025-05-18 1.436570 2.747526 5.323662 11.026616 24.120869 54.799895 139.090212
2025-05-25 1.358917 2.634795 5.181730 10.922405 24.382707 56.684725 148.031776
2025-06-01 1.280980 2.515861 5.017772 10.753761 24.473526 58.159002 156.086166
2025-06-08 1.201369 2.387940 4.825423 10.503328 24.340125 59.051340 162.631095